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Rudely Chilly–and Stormy 15/09/2012

Posted by zoidion in Weather.
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Not exactly the Twin Cities weather report: There’s this, from SF Gate via Paul Douglas’ weather blog, about winter indications on the West Coast:

“There’s a saying, ‘Birds never lie.’ If so, the best weather forecaster in the West, the migratory sandhill crane, is predicting an early winter with plenty of rain and snow. Over the years, the timing of the migration of sandhill cranes south to the San Joaquin Valley has predicted winter weather, both wet and dry. Early migrations have meant big winters. Late migrations, the opposite. ‘I think 2012 sets a record for earliest arrival,’ said Gary Ivey, the International Crane Foundation’s Western Conversation Manager. This fall’s verified migration started August 25 when 10 sandhill cranes were sighted in northern San Joaquin County by a birdwatching group guided by Esther Milnes-Schmierer, a docent for the Department of Fish and Game. In past years, the giant sandhill cranes have first arrived in mid-September.”

Douglas agrees with computer models indicating that temperatures here will plummet after a high in the low to mid 80s on Sunday, with the possibility of frost or flurries by Tuesday morning. Yikes! That’s how crazy weather shifts tend to be, near the center of the continent.

In our community garden plot across the alley from our house, the tomatoes are still coming—I decided to take advantage of the run of clear weather to put out some thinly sliced tomatoes to dry in the sun; I may have to finish the process indoors. I’m watching the various squashes, too—I haven’t grown them before, and from what I’ve read, it’s important to avoid picking them too early. The word is to leave them on the vine as the plants wither, but to pick them during dry weather before an expected frost. It looks like dry won’t be a problem . . .

 

This prospect of an early frost again—similar to last year: two to three weeks before the median first frost date—comes soon after the New Moon in the harvest sign of Virgo, which occurs this evening locally at 9:10 p.m. The most prominently placed planet is Mars, setting, less than two degrees above the horizon. As the timer of atmospheric shifts, the Moon first crosses the longitude of Mercury on Sunday morning, twelve hours before Mercury moves into the sign of Libra; the latter, being a cardinal sign, heralds an abrupt shift in the wind patterns. Here, the anticipated shift will allow a pool of cold air in the Canadian north to plunge southward. But the lunation does not show significant moisture for this area, where drought conditions have intensified during the past month.

Overall, the week following the New Moon can be expected to be particularly chaotic, turbulent, even violent—as indicated by Sun, Moon, Mercury and Uranus in a complex web of parallels and contraparallels of declination (equal distances north and south of the celestial equator).

The Moon’s second contact will be with Saturn, due to shift from Libra into Scorpio on 5 October. Moon-Saturn will be at 6:30 Tuesday morning, Central time, when the techno-weather guys see the cold air arriving in these parts. It could be a rudely chilly dawn.

(The Farmers’ Almanac  has this forecast: “[September] 16th-19th. Rain over Plains east, then fair, cooler.” )

Meanwhile, what is being described as the most powerful tropical storm of the year thus far—with winds attaining 172-miles-per-hour and gusts even higher: a Category 5 storm–is endangering east Asia. According to a story on The Examiner web site, “The forecast track for the storm places it passing very close to Japan on Sunday morning with a potential landfall in South Korea early Monday morning local time. Normal uncertainty in the forecast does not preclude the possibility of a landfall in Japan.”

Somewhat fortunately, the storm is expected to weaken as it moves north, but Sanba is obviously a very dangerous typhoon. And it is close to the seasonally problematic Saturn zone marked by the 2012 Cancer Ingress chart.

Here’s the September New Moon astromap for that region:

The most prominent storm-related line is for Neptune anti-culminating–that’s the vertical dashed line through the center of the map, through North Korea. But on the far right, again vertically, are the Sun and Moon culminating (noon) lines, serving as a reminder that throughout the region, the New Moon (Sun and Moon conjunct) and Neptune are opposite by sign, and only 22 degrees from exact; the oceans will be in greatest turmoil, and tides most emphasized, between these lines.

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