Forecast Spring 2014 28/02/2014Posted by zoidion in forecast, Weather.
Tags: flood, forecast, lunar eclipse, occultation, solar eclipse, weather
Twin Cities ephemera: Today is the last day of winter–well, meteorological winter: The coldest quarter of the year is December through February.
But there’s no sense or sign that the cold and deep snow pack will be melting away anytime soon.
Since last week’s heavy snow, many walkways and roadways have been in–shall we say–challenging condition. Two full days after the clouds cleared, the notorious I-35 through Minneapolis was a washboard surface of hard-packed snow and ice, with the temperature too low for the chemicals to work at melting it; traffic moved along at thirty miles an hour. A friend pointed out: It’s like travel was eighty years ago. Even major through routes remain in fair driving condition. Many municipalities have been maintaining passage by spending money earmarked for next winter: Something’s gotta give, but there’s little public talk yet about that.
The word from those who tabulate the numbers is that this winter already is number six on the list of winters in number of days/nights with below-zero minimums, with a total so far of forty-five. Chances appear good that the eventual total will exceed the forty-eight days with below-zero minimums racked up in 1935-36.
The temperature has been below the freezing mark for over ninety percent of the time since December 1, 2013. And yet, in the Twin Cities area, there has not been a single new record-low set. Strange . . .
On the other hand, the local National Weather Service office has issued a forecast indicating that new records may be set for coldest daytime high temperatures in the first week of March.
As for frost in the ground, the Minnesota Department of Transportation has been monitoring the depth of frost near Monticello (site of one of the state’s two nuclear power plants), and reports that frost has reached between seventy and seventy-five inches. Call it six feet. Whew! That could and probably will make the snowmelt period–assuming the sun does manage to penetrate the polar vortex–a flood period.
Two words summarize the prospects for spring weather through this region: cold and wet.
The meteorological terms that have become prevalent of late are apt to be repeated ad nauseum: The wavy jet stream over North America remains stuck, allowing Arctic air masses to pour south over the eastern two-thirds of the continent. (A good video about the jet stream phenomenon, featuring Jennifer Francis, is here.)
Global climate disruption in this season becomes greatly intensified and irrefutable to all but the most profoundly deranged. In general, existing trends are reinforced: Those areas that have been cold and wet remain so, only more so, and drought-stricken areas enter crisis conditions.
Season chart indications: Virgo on lower meridian signals cold, blustery trend; ruling planet Mercury in opposite sign, Pisces, with Neptune, symbolizing cold and wet conditions conducive to flooding, especially through prolonged snowmelt period, punctuated by additional heavy snows/rains, with deeply frozen soils; water sign Cancer rising with ruling planet Moon in water sign Scorpio with Saturn, and Moon occulting Saturn during night following solar Aries ingress; Mars (ruling Sun sign Aries and Moon sign Scorpio) retrograde and exactly opposite place of most recent lunar eclipse.
Week by week to early May:
Fourth Quarter Moon: 24 – 30 March
New Moon: 30 March – 6 April
Somewhat warmer after abrupt chill expected 1 April, dry until end of week
First Quarter Moon: 7 – 14 April
Very wet, stormy–carrying over from end of previous week; mark calendars for 10 April in particular for dangerous rain/snowfall
Full Moon (Lunar Eclipse): 15 – 21 April
Gradual tapering off of clouds and precipitation, slightly warmer, becoming windier
Fourth Quarter Moon: 22 – 28 April
Lingering precipitation through 25th, then slight drying; windier conditions carrying over from previous week
New Moon (Solar Eclipse): 29 April – 6 May
Very wet and windy conditions hampering agriculture and transportation/communication
Stay aware, keep safe.
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